# Scenario Planning AI Prompt and Guide

Develop plausible alternative futures around critical uncertainties and identify robust decisions.

Canonical page: https://mtfinstitute.com/tools/ai-business-prompts/scenario-planning-ai-prompt/
Category: Strategy

## Core components
- Focal question
- Driving forces
- Critical uncertainties
- Scenarios
- Signposts and actions

## Prompt template

Develop four plausible scenarios for [focal decision] over [time horizon]. Separate predetermined trends from critical uncertainties, avoid best/base/worst labels, give each scenario a coherent causal narrative, and test the current strategy in each. Finish with signposts, no-regret actions and options to preserve.

## Practical uses
- Prepare for uncertainty
- Stress-test strategy
- Identify early warning indicators

Related learning: https://mtfinstitute.com/programs/risk-management/

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